四川电力发展对新能源建设规模影响分析

Influence Analysis of Sichuan Power Development on New Energy Construction Scale

摘要:

根据“十三五”中后期四川未来电力需求负荷预测、电源装机规模、电网规划等电力发展状况，研究分析未来 2020 年四川新能源合理的规划建设规模容量。一方面根据四川全网电力电量平衡计算分析新能源电力建设市场空 间，以及新能源建设对四川省水电丰期弃水以及火电利用小时数影响; 另一方面，结合川西水电送出通道以及川电出 口外送通道的电网建设规划，分析电网建设与电网输电能力对未来四川新能源规模及电力顺利送出的影响。

Abstract:

According to the future power development status in Sichuan province including electric power demand，power installed capacity and grid planning etc.，the reasonable construction scale for new energy planning of Sichuan province in 2020 are studied and analyzed．On one hand，the power construction market space of new energy in Sichuan is calculated and analyzed based on power and electricity quantity balance of Sichuan power grid，as well as the influence of new energy construction on the quantity of abandoning energy in high flow period and the thermal power utilization hours． On the other hand，the influence of grid construction and power transmission capability on new energy construction scale of Sichuan are analyzed according to Sichuan grid construction planning．